ELECTION TO DELAY SPRING MARKET BOUNCE?

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General Elections, traditionally held in May or June, have historically had the effect of dampening the usual Spring rise in the housing market. Buyers do not like instability and an Election brings a further level of uncertainty. However, there is also evidence to suggest that transaction levels pick up in the immediate aftermath of the vote.

However, with the unexpected timing and short run up the Election on 8th June, it is not clear whether buyers, already part way through the conveyancing process, will put the brakes on transactions.

During three of the last five Election years, the Spring bounce in transaction levels has been tempered. In 2015 (the most recent Election year) sales in the run-up to the vote during March and April were 9.2% lower than might have been expected.

The pick-up in transactions after Elections has traditionally begun almost straight away. Over the last five Election years, sales in the two months after the Election have increased, on average, by 18.1% compared to the previous two months. This compares to a rise of 13.4% during the same period in non-Election years. The pick-up in 2015 was even more pronounced. Sales in the two months after the Election rose by 21.2%.

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George Tatham-Losh

Since forming the business in 2009, our founder, George Tatham-Losh, has become highly regarded as the local go to expert for advice on maximising property values and getting the most out of property investments, regularly speaking at events and holding well attended seminars. Born and raised in Cheltenham, George knows the town and County like no other and knows what works in the area. Alongside George is a specialist team of agents with a wealth of experience to help you sell, buy, let or rent property in Gloucestershire.

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